We've been heavily fixated on New England during this first week of 2010, but we'll be returning to our roots this weekend with our first look at Larry Kissell's status.
Should be an interesting poll on a number of fronts:
-We're of course going to test Kissell's approval and the favorabilities of all of his Republican opponents. We'll take a look at all the possible horse race match ups and also how Kissell does against a generic Republican since I doubt any of the GOP hopefuls have very good name recognition.
-We're also going to look at the politics of Kissell's health care vote. One thing I'm particularly interested to see is whether respondents can actually correctly identify how he voted on the bill- I'm guessing the answer is less than half and I wouldn't be surprised if most voters assume he voted for it just because he's a Democrat. It'll be a good reality check on how much most people pay attention.
-We're going to look at whether there's support for a primary challenge to Kissell from the left...not sure how that will come out but based on polling we've done in other Congressional districts I wouldn't be surprised if there are more conservative Democrats unhappy with Kissell than liberal ones. Even though he's voted against several major Democratic initiatives, he may get lumped in with Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi anyway.
-And it'll be interesting to see how Barack Obama's popularity has held up in a district he won in 2008- as well as how Richard Burr's doing in what's somewhat of a swing district in closely contested statewide races.
Look for that starting Tuesday!