Sarah Palin's not getting elected President in 2012.
We had plenty of data points to tell us that already but I find it fascinating that a plurality of voters have an unfavorable opinion of her even in NY-23.
43% view her favorably to 44% negative. This is in a poll with a party ID breakdown of R+14 that shows Doug Hoffman leading by 17 points. If Palin's not popular in an electorate with that mix she's not going anywhere nationally.
NY-23 is a district with an unusual number of moderate Republicans, and Palin's favorability with them breaks down negatively 53/32. She could overcome those kinds of numbers in a contest to get the Republican nomination but they certainly wouldn't be good enough in a general election. The North Country should be friendly ground for her and if she can't make it there it's hard to see how she can make it anywhere.
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November 03, 2009
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Yeah, but Hoffman was an unknown entity back then. Palin is already universally known, and opinions on her are hard.
Posted by: Rasmus | November 02, 2009 at 07:00 PM
Heres how: Things change. After all, wasnt it only a couple of weeks ago that Hoffman was never going to win?
Posted by: jamielandes | November 02, 2009 at 07:00 PM