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July 31, 2009

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Tom Jensen

1) The crosstabs of the Perdue/McCrory reelect numbers say its 43/33 so youve got different numbers in different places.2) Um, NC politics 101 is that a lot of Democrats dont vote Democratic. Republicans need to to get a majority of legislative votes, not slightly outperform their registration disadvantage.3) Republicans in the state, maybe not you, have been claiming Perdues unpopularity is going to give them the legislature back so its very relevant to speak to whether thats actually true or not.4) I dont disagree Perdues unpopular, the point of this post is whether thats going to cause Dems to lose legislative control. Right now the answer is no.

Chris

Wow, what a stretch of an argument...First, its 43-34.Second, thats a narrower margin than the registration advantage that Democrats hold.Third, in previous months, when Perdue was MORE popular, the generic ballot was narrower. (3 pt margin in May). So trying to correlate Perdue to the generic ballot is off base.Fourth, to see Perdues toxicity, look at what happens when you say the tax plan is her idea versus the state legislature. The service tax proposal went from 34% support to 13% support when you say it is a Perdue idea.Nice try at spin, Tom, but youre so wrong here its amazing.

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